Menu

value-bet results diary

shot on goal

AI Value Bet Results For Friday 28th October 2022

0

RECOMMENDED BETS

Sorry, no recommended bets today

ALL BETS

Birmingham -v- QPR 20:00

BACK Birmingham | Predicted 2.89 Actual 2.44 | Edge -15% Probability 35%
LAY Birmingham | Predicted 2.89 Actual 2.44 | Edge 11% Probability 65%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.08 Actual 3.45 | Edge 12% Probability 33%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.08 Actual 3.45 | Edge -5% Probability 67%
BACK QPR | Predicted 3.04 Actual 3.25 | Edge 7% Probability 33%
LAY QPR | Predicted 3.04 Actual 3.25 | Edge -3% Probability 67%

No recommended bets and I didn’t like much that was available on the Birmingham v QPR game above, so no bets today.

 

Profit for the day: £0.00

Total Profit: -£6.46

football pitch

AI Value Bet Results For Tuesday 25th October 2022

0

RECOMMENDED BETS

Coventry -v- Rotherham 19:45

LAY Coventry | Predicted 2.28 Actual 1.78 | Edge 28% Probability 56%

ALL BETS

Coventry -v- Rotherham 19:45

BACK Coventry | Predicted 2.28 Actual 1.78 | Edge -22% Probability 44%
LAY Coventry | Predicted 2.28 Actual 1.78 | Edge 28% Probability 56%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.09 Actual 3.70 | Edge 20% Probability 32%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.09 Actual 3.70 | Edge -7% Probability 68%
BACK Rotherham | Predicted 4.19 Actual 5.80 | Edge 38% Probability 24%
LAY Rotherham | Predicted 4.19 Actual 5.80 | Edge -8% Probability 76%

Recommended bet had gone slightly out to 1.79 when I tried to place the bet, so currently waiting to see if I get a match at 1.78. I got the bet matched and the game ended in a 2 – 2 draw so a nice £1.00 profit

Burnley -v- Norwich 20:00

BACK Burnley | Predicted 2.24 Actual 2.20 | Edge -2% Probability 45%
LAY Burnley | Predicted 2.24 Actual 2.20 | Edge 1% Probability 55%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.63 Actual 3.55 | Edge -2% Probability 28%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.63 Actual 3.55 | Edge 1% Probability 72%
BACK Norwich | Predicted 3.59 Actual 3.65 | Edge 2% Probability 28%
LAY Norwich | Predicted 3.59 Actual 3.65 | Edge -1% Probability 72%

 

Profit for the day: £1.00

Total Profit: -£6.46

boy playing football

AI Value Bot Results For Monday 24th October 2022

0

There are no value bets for today… 

ALL BETS

West Ham -v- Bournemouth 20:00

BACK West Ham | Predicted 1.37 Actual 1.57 | Edge 14% Probability 73%
LAY West Ham | Predicted 1.37 Actual 1.57 | Edge -25% Probability 27%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 6.00 Actual 4.30 | Edge -28% Probability 17%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 6.00 Actual 4.30 | Edge 9% Probability 83%
BACK Bournemouth | Predicted 9.44 Actual 7.20 | Edge -24% Probability 11%
LAY Bournemouth | Predicted 9.44 Actual 7.20 | Edge 4% Probability 89% 

I quite like the 14% edge and 73% probability of backing West Ham, so I’ve gone for that rather than having no bets for today. 

West Ham won 2 – 0 so £0.57 profit on this match!

Profit for the day: £0.57

Total Profit: -£6.89

corner of a football pitch

AI Value Bot Results For Sunday 23rd October 2022

0

There are no value bets for today… 

I did however place a couple of bets, however ended up doing early cash outs as I’m a little cautious at the moment after my big Liverpool v Forest loss!

ALL BETS

Wolves -v- Leicester 14:00

BACK Wolves | Predicted 2.62 Actual 2.40 | Edge -8% Probability 38%
LAY Wolves | Predicted 2.62 Actual 2.40 | Edge 6% Probability 62%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.33 Actual 3.40 | Edge 2% Probability 30%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.33 Actual 3.40 | Edge -1% Probability 70%
BACK Leicester | Predicted 3.14 Actual 3.40 | Edge 8% Probability 32%
LAY Leicester | Predicted 3.14 Actual 3.40 | Edge -3% Probability 68%

Might try and lay the draw at 3.0, see if it will get matched at some point

Southampton -v- Arsenal 14:00

BACK Southampton | Predicted 8.17 Actual 7.00 | Edge -14% Probability 12%
LAY Southampton | Predicted 8.17 Actual 7.00 | Edge 2% Probability 88%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.99 Actual 4.80 | Edge -4% Probability 20%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.99 Actual 4.80 | Edge 1% Probability 80%
BACK Arsenal | Predicted 1.48 Actual 1.53 | Edge 4% Probability 68%
LAY Arsenal | Predicted 1.48 Actual 1.53 | Edge -7% Probability 32%

Not risking the high probability, high risk Lay Southampton option and there’s not much edge in the rest of the options.

Leeds -v- Fulham 14:00

BACK Leeds | Predicted 2.23 Actual 2.12 | Edge -5% Probability 45%
LAY Leeds | Predicted 2.23 Actual 2.12 | Edge 5% Probability 55%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.82 Actual 3.90 | Edge 2% Probability 26% 
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.82 Actual 3.90 | Edge -1% Probability 74%
BACK Fulham | Predicted 3.44 Actual 3.60 | Edge 5% Probability 29%
LAY Fulham | Predicted 3.44 Actual 3.60 | Edge -2% Probability 71%

No edge in this match either and Leeds are my team so I can never bet against them!! They lost 3 – 2, so can’t see our manager Jesse Marsch lasting much longer, think that’s 7 or 8 games now without a win!

Tottenham -v- Newcastle 16:30

BACK Tottenham | Predicted 2.39 Actual 2.10 | Edge -12% Probability 42%
LAY Tottenham | Predicted 2.39 Actual 2.10 | Edge 11% Probability 58%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.61 Actual 3.65 | Edge 1% Probability 28%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.61 Actual 3.65 | Edge 0% Probability 72%
BACK Newcastle | Predicted 3.28 Actual 3.95 | Edge 20% Probability 30%
LAY Newcastle | Predicted 3.28 Actual 3.95 | Edge -7% Probability 70%

Laying Tottenham doesn’t look too bad above with an 11% edge and 58% probability, waiting for a match at 2.1 though by the time I put the bet on. I did get the match but stupidly cashed out way too early for a mere £0.08 profit, would have been a quid if I’d have only let it ride!

Watford -v- Luton 12:00

BACK Watford | Predicted 2.92 Actual 2.42 | Edge -17% Probability 34%
LAY Watford | Predicted 2.92 Actual 2.42 | Edge 12% Probability 66%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.46 Actual 3.30 | Edge -4% Probability 29%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.46 Actual 3.30 | Edge 2% Probability 71%
BACK Luton | Predicted 2.72 Actual 3.45 | Edge 27% Probability 37%
LAY Luton | Predicted 2.72 Actual 3.45 | Edge -11% Probability 63%

Might see if I can get a match on laying the draw at 3.0 for a bit of an edge

Aston Villa -v- Brentford 14:00

BACK Aston Villa | Predicted 2.60 Actual 2.08 | Edge -20% Probability 39%
LAY Aston Villa | Predicted 2.60 Actual 2.08 | Edge 18% Probability 61%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.11 Actual 3.50 | Edge 12% Probability 32%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.11 Actual 3.50 | Edge -5% Probability 68%
BACK Brentford | Predicted 3.40 Actual 4.10 | Edge 20% Probability 29%
LAY Brentford | Predicted 3.40 Actual 4.10 | Edge -7% Probability 71%

Not liking much from the above options

Swansea -v- Cardiff 12:00
BACK Swansea | Predicted 2.27 Actual 2.16 | Edge -5% Probability 44%
LAY Swansea | Predicted 2.27 Actual 2.16 | Edge 4% Probability 56%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.42 Actual 3.45 | Edge 1% Probability 29%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.42 Actual 3.45 | Edge 0% Probability 71%
BACK Cardiff | Predicted 3.73 Actual 3.95 | Edge 6% Probability 27%
LAY Cardiff | Predicted 3.73 Actual 3.95 | Edge -2% Probability 73%

Might see if I can lay the draw at 3.0. I did get a match, the game ended 2 – 0 to Swansea so this would have been another quid up, however once again I did a cautious cash out for a measly £0.11 profit 

Profit for the day: £0.19

Total Profit: -£7.46

corner ball

AI Value Bot Results For Saturday 22nd October 2022

0

The value bets for today are:

Blackpool -v- Preston 12:30

BACK Blackpool | Predicted 1.99 Actual 2.92 | Edge 47% Probability 50%

Ended 4 – 2 (WIN)

Kilmarnock -v- Ross Co 15:00

BACK Kilmarnock | Predicted 1.53 Actual 1.99 | Edge 30% Probability 66%

Ended 1 – 0 (WIN)

Stoke -v- Coventry 15:00

BACK Stoke | Predicted 1.70 Actual 2.20 | Edge 30% Probability 59%

Ended 0 – 2 (LOSS)

So, if I’d have just taken the bot recommended bots I’d have been slightly up on the day, however, I didn’t!!! My biggest mistake was chasing the probability of Liverpool beating Nottingham Forest. They lost 1 – 0 which proved to be very costly for the day. My bets and results below

I’ve tried to get Kilmarnock at 2.00, and stoke at 2.22 for some extra edge

ALL BETS

Middlesbrough -v- Huddersfield 15:00

BACK Middlesbrough | Predicted 1.86 Actual 1.74 | Edge -6% Probability 54% 
LAY Middlesbrough | Predicted 1.86 Actual 1.74 | Edge 8% Probability 46%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.91 Actual 3.90 | Edge -21% Probability 20%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.91 Actual 3.90 | Edge 7% Probability 80%
BACK Huddersfield | Predicted 3.89 Actual 5.70 | Edge 47% Probability 26%
LAY Huddersfield | Predicted 3.89 Actual 5.70 | Edge -10% Probability 74%

Decided to lay the draw, although when I went to place the bet, 3.95 was all I could get

Ended 0 – 0, so I lost -£2.95

Day total: -£2.95

Chelsea -v- Man Utd 17:30

BACK Chelsea | Predicted 2.37 Actual 2.24 | Edge -6% Probability 42%
LAY Chelsea | Predicted 2.37 Actual 2.24 | Edge 5% Probability 58%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.98 Actual 3.60 | Edge -28% Probability 20%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.98 Actual 3.60 | Edge 11% Probability 80%
BACK Man Utd | Predicted 2.65 Actual 3.55 | Edge 34% Probability 38%
LAY Man Utd | Predicted 2.65 Actual 3.55 | Edge -13% Probability 62%

 Decided to lay the draw, although when I went to place the bet, 3.60 was waiting to be matched. 

Ended 1 – 1, however I watched this game live on Sky as my wife is a Man U fan. When Chelsea eventually scored from a penalty I had a sneaky feeling Man U might equalise, so I did a partial cash out which resulted in a full £0.26 profit!!

 Day total: -£2.69

Blackpool -v- Preston 12:30

BACK Blackpool | Predicted 1.99 Actual 2.92 | Edge 47% Probability 50%
LAY Blackpool | Predicted 1.99 Actual 2.92 | Edge -24% Probability 50%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.41 Actual 3.25 | Edge -26% Probability 23%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.41 Actual 3.25 | Edge 12% Probability 77%
BACK Preston | Predicted 3.69 Actual 2.82 | Edge -24% Probability 27%
LAY Preston | Predicted 3.69 Actual 2.82 | Edge 13% Probability 73%

Well this was a recommended value bet but I still decided to avoid due to Blackpool having suspended players and injuries, etc. Mistake in hindsight as Blackpool won 4 – 2

Day total: -£2.69

Man City -v- Brighton 15:00

BACK Man City | Predicted 1.75 Actual 1.24 | Edge -29% Probability 57%
LAY Man City | Predicted 1.75 Actual 1.24 | Edge 122% Probability 43%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.22 Actual 7.40 | Edge 75% Probability 24%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.22 Actual 7.40 | Edge -12% Probability 76%
BACK Brighton | Predicted 5.19 Actual 15.00 | Edge 189% Probability 19%
LAY Brighton | Predicted 5.19 Actual 15.00 | Edge -13% Probability 81%

Didn’t go for anything on this game

Day total: -£2.69

 

Nottm Forest -v- Liverpool 12:30

BACK Nottm Forest | Predicted 12.40 Actual 13.00 | Edge 5% Probability 8%
LAY Nottm Forest | Predicted 12.40 Actual 13.00 | Edge 0% Probability 92%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 6.90 Actual 6.80 | Edge -1% Probability 15%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 6.90 Actual 6.80 | Edge 0% Probability 85%
BACK Liverpool | Predicted 1.29 Actual 1.28 | Edge -1% Probability 77%
LAY Liverpool | Predicted 1.29 Actual 1.28 | Edge 3% Probability 23%

Waiting to see if I can get the lay on Forest at 12.50 for a slight edge, risking £11.50 though for only £1 return, may prove to be a bad decision! Unfortunately I did get the lay on Forest at 12.50 and they went on to win 1 – 0, so a massive loss on this game of -£11.50

Possibly don’t go chasing probabilities in the future, particularly of there’s little or no edge.

Day total: -£14.19

 

Rotherham -v- Hull 15:00

BACK Rotherham | Predicted 2.41 Actual 2.52 | Edge 4% Probability 41%
LAY Rotherham | Predicted 2.41 Actual 2.52 | Edge -3% Probability 59%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.23 Actual 3.35 | Edge -21% Probability 24%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.23 Actual 3.35 | Edge 9% Probability 76%
BACK Hull | Predicted 2.86 Actual 3.20 | Edge 12% Probability 35%
LAY Hull | Predicted 2.86 Actual 3.20 | Edge -5% Probability 65%

 Trying to get a match on laying the draw at 3.35.

Ended 2 – 4 and I got the match on laying the draw at 3.35 so  a full £1 profit here

Day total: -£13.19

Hearts -v- Celtic 12:30

BACK Hearts | Predicted 13.62 Actual 9.20 | Edge -32% Probability 7%
LAY Hearts | Predicted 13.62 Actual 9.20 | Edge 4% Probability 93%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 7.23 Actual 5.70 | Edge -21% Probability 14%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 7.23 Actual 5.70 | Edge 5% Probability 86%
BACK Celtic | Predicted 1.27 Actual 1.39 | Edge 10% Probability 79%
LAY Celtic | Predicted 1.27 Actual 1.39 | Edge -25% Probability 21%

Tried to get the Lay Hearts at 9 for a little more edge

Ended 3 – 4 and I did get the Lay hearts at 9.0 but with all the goals I got nervous and cashed out for £0.25 profit

Day total: -£12.94

Rangers -v- Livingston 15:00

BACK Rangers | Predicted 1.39 Actual 1.23 | Edge -12% Probability 72%
LAY Rangers | Predicted 1.39 Actual 1.23 | Edge 51% Probability 28%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 5.28 Actual 7.80 | Edge 48% Probability 19%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 5.28 Actual 7.80 | Edge -7% Probability 81%
BACK Livingston | Predicted 10.81 Actual 15.50 | Edge 43% Probability 9%
LAY Livingston | Predicted 10.81 Actual 15.50 | Edge -3% Probability 91%

Didn’t bet on this one.

Day total: -£12.94

Everton -v- Crystal Palace 15:00

BACK Everton | Predicted 2.27 Actual 2.72 | Edge 20% Probability 44%
LAY Everton | Predicted 2.27 Actual 2.72 | Edge -11% Probability 56%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.50 Actual 3.15 | Edge -30% Probability 22%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.50 Actual 3.15 | Edge 14% Probability 78%
BACK Crystal Palace | Predicted 2.96 Actual 3.10 | Edge 5% Probability 34%
LAY Crystal Palace | Predicted 2.96 Actual 3.10 | Edge -2% Probability 66%

Trying to get a match on laying the draw at 3.15

Ended 3 – 0 and I did get the lay at 3.15 to win a £1.00

Day total: -£11.94

 

Motherwell -v- Aberdeen 15:00

BACK Motherwell | Predicted 2.79 Actual 2.72 | Edge -2% Probability 36%
LAY Motherwell | Predicted 2.79 Actual 2.72 | Edge 1% Probability 64%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.82 Actual 3.35 | Edge -12% Probability 26%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.82 Actual 3.35 | Edge 5% Probability 74%
BACK Aberdeen | Predicted 2.64 Actual 2.82 | Edge 7% Probability 38%
LAY Aberdeen | Predicted 2.64 Actual 2.82 | Edge -4% Probability 62%

Trying to get a match on lay the draw at 3.35

Ended 1 – 2, and I did get the match on laying the draw at 3.35, so I won a £1.00

Day total: -£10.94

Stoke -v- Coventry 15:00

BACK Stoke | Predicted 1.70 Actual 2.20 | Edge 30% Probability 59% 
LAY Stoke | Predicted 1.70 Actual 2.20 | Edge -25% Probability 41%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.62 Actual 3.60 | Edge -22% Probability 22%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.62 Actual 3.60 | Edge 9% Probability 78%
BACK Coventry | Predicted 5.16 Actual 3.70 | Edge -28% Probability 19%
LAY Coventry | Predicted 5.16 Actual 3.70 | Edge 10% Probability 81%

Ended 0 – 2 but didn’t get a bet on

Day total: -£10.94

 

Sheff Utd -v- Norwich 15:00

BACK Sheff Utd | Predicted 2.58 Actual 2.36 | Edge -9% Probability 39%
LAY Sheff Utd | Predicted 2.58 Actual 2.36 | Edge 6% Probability 61%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.80 Actual 3.50 | Edge -8% Probability 26%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.80 Actual 3.50 | Edge 3% Probability 74%
BACK Norwich | Predicted 2.86 Actual 3.35 | Edge 17% Probability 35%
LAY Norwich | Predicted 2.86 Actual 3.35 | Edge -7% Probability 65%

Tried to get a match on lay the draw at 3.45 for some extra edge

Ended 2 – 2, I actually got a match at 3.35 but it didn’t help me much, lost -£2.35

Day total: -£13.29

 

Sunderland -v- Burnley 15:00

BACK Sunderland | Predicted 2.91 Actual 3.45 | Edge 19% Probability 34%
LAY Sunderland | Predicted 2.91 Actual 3.45 | Edge -8% Probability 66%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.88 Actual 3.30 | Edge -15% Probability 26%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.88 Actual 3.30 | Edge 6% Probability 74%
BACK Burnley | Predicted 2.51 Actual 2.42 | Edge -4% Probability 40%
LAY Burnley | Predicted 2.51 Actual 2.42 | Edge 3% Probability 60%

Tried to get a match on lay the draw at 3.25 for some extra edge

Ended 2 – 4, and I did get a match on laying the draw at 3.25 so I won a £1.00

Day total: -£12.29

 

Millwall -v- West Brom 15:00

BACK Millwall | Predicted 3.14 Actual 2.78 | Edge -11% Probability 32%
LAY Millwall | Predicted 3.14 Actual 2.78 | Edge 6% Probability 68%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.41 Actual 3.25 | Edge -5% Probability 29%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.41 Actual 3.25 | Edge 2% Probability 71%
BACK West Brom | Predicted 2.57 Actual 2.96 | Edge 15% Probability 39%
LAY West Brom | Predicted 2.57 Actual 2.96 | Edge -8% Probability 61%

Tried to get a match on lay the draw at 3.20 for some extra edge

Ended 2 – 1, and I did get a match on laying the draw at 3.20 so I won a £1.00

Day total: -£11.29

 

Reading -v- Bristol City 15:00

BACK Reading | Predicted 2.91 Actual 2.64 | Edge -9% Probability 34%
LAY Reading | Predicted 2.91 Actual 2.64 | Edge 6% Probability 66%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.46 Actual 3.50 | Edge 1% Probability 29%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.46 Actual 3.50 | Edge 0% Probability 71%
BACK Bristol City | Predicted 2.72 Actual 2.92 | Edge 7% Probability 37%
LAY Bristol City | Predicted 2.72 Actual 2.92 | Edge -4% Probability 63%

Ended 2 – 0 but didn’t get a bet on

Day total: -£11.29

 

QPR -v- Wigan 15:00

BACK QPR | Predicted 1.79 Actual 1.99 | Edge 11% Probability 56%
LAY QPR | Predicted 1.79 Actual 1.99 | Edge -12% Probability 44%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.44 Actual 3.55 | Edge -20% Probability 23%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.44 Actual 3.55 | Edge 8% Probability 77%
BACK Wigan | Predicted 4.66 Actual 4.50 | Edge -3% Probability 21%
LAY Wigan | Predicted 4.66 Actual 4.50 | Edge 1% Probability 79%

Tried to Lay Wigan at 4.40 for some extra edge

Ended 2 – 1, and I did get a match on laying the draw at 4.40 so I won a £1.00

Day total: -£10.29

 

St Mirren -v- Dundee Utd 15:00

BACK St Mirren | Predicted 1.87 Actual 2.12 | Edge 14% Probability 54%
LAY St Mirren | Predicted 1.87 Actual 2.12 | Edge -12% Probability 46%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.47 Actual 3.40 | Edge -24% Probability 22%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.47 Actual 3.40 | Edge 10% Probability 78%
BACK Dundee Utd | Predicted 4.16 Actual 3.95 | Edge -5% Probability 24%
LAY Dundee Utd | Predicted 4.16 Actual 3.95 | Edge 2% Probability 76%

Tried to match Lay the draw for 3.25

Ended 2 – 1, and I did get a match on laying the draw at 3.25 so I won a £1.00

Day total: -£9.29

Blackburn -v- Birmingham 15:00

BACK Blackburn | Predicted 2.23 Actual 2.22 | Edge 0% Probability 45%
LAY Blackburn | Predicted 2.23 Actual 2.22 | Edge 0% Probability 55%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.83 Actual 3.35 | Edge -12% Probability 26%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.83 Actual 3.35 | Edge 5% Probability 74%
BACK Birmingham | Predicted 3.45 Actual 3.95 | Edge 15% Probability 29%
LAY Birmingham | Predicted 3.45 Actual 3.95 | Edge -5% Probability 71%

Tried to match lay the draw at 3.3 for extra edge

Ended 2 – 1, and I did get a match on laying the draw at 3.30 so I won a £1.00

Day total: -£8.29

Kilmarnock -v- Ross Co 15:00

BACK Kilmarnock | Predicted 1.53 Actual 1.99 | Edge 30% Probability 66%
LAY Kilmarnock | Predicted 1.53 Actual 1.99 | Edge -31% Probability 34%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.81 Actual 3.35 | Edge -30% Probability 21%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.81 Actual 3.35 | Edge 13% Probability 79%
BACK Ross Co | Predicted 7.32 Actual 4.60 | Edge -37% Probability 14%
LAY Ross Co | Predicted 7.32 Actual 4.60 | Edge 10% Probability 86%

Ended 1 – 0

I layed Ross Co on this one but I cashed out very early for £0.08 profit

Day total: -£8.21

Profit for the day: -£8.21

Total Profit: -£7.65

So overall a terrible day of betting all because of Liverpool losing to Forest, would have been up otherwise!

old football

AI Value Bot Results For Friday 21st October 2022

0

No value bets for today:

I did however like the probability of Laying St Johnstone, although the odds had slightly gone out from 6.0, so I placed a lay bet at 6.0 to see if I get matched, no edge though according to the bot. I did get matched so come on Hibernian!!

This was the first ever Scottish football league match to use VAR technology. Hibernian went up 1 – 0 but later in the second half they got a man sent off and St Johnstone equalised. Cue for me to cash out quickly. Luckily I managed to cash out for 19p profit just before St Johnstone went 2 – 1 up, which was the final score.

Hibernian -v- St Johnstone 19:30
BACK Hibernian | Predicted 1.98 Actual 1.68 | Edge -15% Probability 50% 
LAY Hibernian | Predicted 1.98 Actual 1.68 | Edge 22% Probability 50%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.03 Actual 4.00 | Edge 32% Probability 33%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.03 Actual 4.00 | Edge -11% Probability 67%
BACK St Johnstone | Predicted 6.02 Actual 6.00 | Edge 0% Probability 17%
LAY St Johnstone | Predicted 6.02 Actual 6.00 | Edge 0% Probability 83%

Profit for the day: £0.19

Total Profit: £0.56

football stadium

AI Value Bot Results For Thursday 20th October 2022

0

No value bets for today:

There was quite a big edge on backing Fulham, but we also like the probability to be greater or equal to 50% so the Bot didn’t flag it as a recommended bet. I did however quite like the 71% probability and 16% edge of Lay bet for Aston Villa, so I took that. The game resulted in a 3 – 0 win to Fullham so I won a quid.

I’m also, for my sins, a Leeds fan, so in play, when Leeds went 1 – 0 down I layed Leicester at 1.55, however as soon as Leicester went 2 – 0 up, I cashed out for a loss of 35p, so 65p profit for the day.

Fulham -v- Aston Villa 19:30

BACK Fulham | Predicted 2.22 Actual 3.05 | Edge 37% Probability 45% 
LAY Fulham | Predicted 2.22 Actual 3.05 | Edge -18% Probability 55%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.86 Actual 3.50 | Edge -9% Probability 26%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.86 Actual 3.50 | Edge 4% Probability 74%
BACK Aston Villa | Predicted 3.43 Actual 2.56 | Edge -25% Probability 29%
LAY Aston Villa | Predicted 3.43 Actual 2.56 | Edge 16% Probability 71%

Leicester -v- Leeds 20:15

BACK Leicester | Predicted 2.51 Actual 2.38 | Edge -5% Probability 40% 
LAY Leicester | Predicted 2.51 Actual 2.38 | Edge 4% Probability 60%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.01 Actual 3.60 | Edge -10% Probability 25%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.01 Actual 3.60 | Edge 4% Probability 75%
BACK Leeds | Predicted 2.84 Actual 3.25 | Edge 14% Probability 35%
LAY Leeds | Predicted 2.84 Actual 3.25 | Edge -6% Probability 65%

Profit for the day: £0.65

Total Profit: £0.37

football

AI Value Bot Results For Wednesday 19th October 2022

0

The AI Bot recommended football bets were:

Man Utd -v- Tottenham 20:15
BACK Tottenham | Predicted 1.90 Actual 3.10 | Edge 63% Probability 53%

Coventry -v- Sheff Utd 19:45
BACK Sheff Utd | Predicted 1.92 Actual 2.60 | Edge 36% Probability 52%

Newcastle -v- Everton 19:30
BACK Newcastle | Predicted 1.25 Actual 1.66 | Edge 33% Probability 80%

Blackpool -v- Hull 19:45
BACK Blackpool | Predicted 1.72 Actual 2.14 | Edge 25% Probability 58%

Brentford -v- Chelsea 19:30
LAY Chelsea | Predicted 2.21 Actual 1.81 | Edge 22% Probability 55%

I do follow football a little and sometimes you have to override some of the decisions that AI bot comes up with. I think that in their last game Blackpool had two players red carded I also think they have a few other key players that are not able to play against Hull this evening, therefore I’m going to skip the Blackpool bet. Plus when I layed Chelsea I only managed to get it at 1.82

So my liability for today was £3.82, three back bets at a £1 each and one lay bet with liability 82p

Man U beat Tottenham 3 – 0, so lost £1 on that one.

Coventry beat Sheffield United 1 – 0, so lost £1 on that one too!

Newcastle beat Everton 1 – 0, so I won 66p on that, hooray!

Brentford v Chelsea was 0 – 0, so my lay bet won a £1

Profit for the day: -£0.34

Total Profit: -£0.28

football

AI Value Bot Results For Sunday 16th October 2022

0

The AI Bot recommended football bets were:

Man Utd -v- Newcastle 14:00

BACK Newcastle | Predicted 1.97 Actual 3.80 | Edge 93% Probability 51%

Man Utd -v- Newcastle 14:00

LAY Man Utd | Predicted 4.22 Actual 2.06 | Edge 48% Probability 76%

Aston Villa -v- Chelsea 14:00

BACK Chelsea | Predicted 1.63 Actual 1.98 | Edge 22% Probability 61%

As there were two bets for the Man U Newcastle game, I chose the one with less edge but a higher probability of winning – the lay bet. Which, turned out to be a very good choice!

I won £1 from laying Man Utd as the game ended in a 0-0 draw.

When I placed my £1 bet on Chelsea to win, I got a price of 2.02. In the Aston Villa v Chelsea game, Chelsea won 2-0 so that pocketed me a further £1.02 profit.

Profit for the day: £2.02

Total profit: £2.02